1. Foreword China's "Tenth Five-Year Plan" for papermaking industry was passed on April 12, 2001, by the Second Standing Council of the Second Session of the China Papermaking Association. The "10th Five-Year Plan" of the papermaking machinery industry has also completed the revised draft. Based on the analysis of the status quo of the industry, development trends, and predictions of domestic and foreign markets, the above plan clarifies the adjustment, development priorities, major measures, and policy recommendations of China's paper industry and paper machinery industry in the next five years. The "Tenth Five-Year Plan" has specified the direction of development for the papermaking machinery industry in the country. In order to better implement the plan, we will present some preliminary views on China's "10th Five-Year Plan" papermaking machinery market and product development trends and countermeasures in light of the economic globalization, the arrival of the knowledge economy era, and the new situation in which China has joined the WT0, and the status quo of the papermaking machinery industry. The views for reference.
2. Demand analysis of China's papermaking machinery market during the “10th Five-Year Plan†period During the “Tenth Five-Year Plan†period, domestic papermaking machinery products mainly rely on the domestic papermaking machinery market, except for a few exports to developing countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Although this market has a large amount of demand, it will be further internationalized after entering the WTO, and the competition will be more intense.
2.1 Estimation of Total Demand China's paper industry "Tenth Five-Year Plan" predicts that the output of mechanism paper and board will reach 35 million to 40 million tons in 2005, and the new paper and board production capacity will be 14 million tons in 5 years (including eliminating backward production Capacity and shutting down production capacity of 4 million t), new production capacity of 1.5 million tons of pulp, considering the spare parts, in the "10th Five-Year" period, about 1.75 million tons of paper machinery products, an average of 350,000 tons per year. It is 2.92 times of the annual output of domestic papermaking machinery about 120,000 tons. From this figure alone, the potential of the market seems to be large, but if we take into account the current domestic papermaking machinery products in the domestic market share of only 33.8% of the current situation, if you maintain the original domestic and imported patterns remain unchanged, The demand for domestic papermaking machinery products will basically not increase! On the other hand, from the perspective of purchasing funds, during the “10th Five-Year Plan†period, China’s papermaking industry is estimated to require about 160 billion yuan, and the average annual investment is about 32 billion yuan. If 60% of it is used for equipment purchase, the average The annual purchase of papermaking equipment will reach 19.2 billion yuan, which is approximately 6.86 times the annual sales of domestic papermaking machinery products of 2.8 billion yuan. It shows that the price of domestic papermaking equipment is very low. As long as the technical performance and service level of domestic papermaking equipment are raised, there is great room for increasing sales.
2.2 Analysis of Demand Structure (1) Scale structure The “Tenth Five-Year Plan†requires that the scale structure of China's paper industry enterprises develop towards large-scale, and “large-scale enterprise conglomeration and small- and medium-sized enterprise specialization†will be realized. According to the preliminary plan, by 2005, there will be 3 Jindong Paper, Zhenjiang Jindong Paper, Ningbo Zhonghua Paper, and Shandong Chenming Group with an annual output of more than 1 million tons. The annual output of 300,000 to 1 million tons will include Fujian Nan Paper Co., Ltd. and Fujian. Qingshan Paper Co., Ltd., Heilongjiang Jiamusi Papermaking Co., Ltd., Hunan Yueyang Paper Group, Yanbian Shiqi Baiji Paper Co., Ltd., Hebei Yiteng Paper, Jilin Paper, Shanghai Kailun Board and Paper Factory, Shanghai Hansong Potential Paper, Wuxi Longda Rongcheng Paper, Suzhou Zixing Paper, Changshu Asia Pacific Paper, Maanshan Shanying Paper, Jiangxi Paper Group, Shandong Huazhong Paper, Shandong Sun Paper, Shandong Huatai Paper , Shandong Guolin Paper Co., Ltd., Shandong Bohui Paper Co., Ltd., Hongta Renheng, Guangzhou Paper Co., Ltd., Guangdong Dongguan Paper Co., Ltd., and Hubei Shuolun Paper Group, with an annual output of 100,000-300,000 t. .
The minimum size of papermaking companies is required: wood pulp and paper mills produce more than 100,000 tons per year; straw and paper mills annually produce 34,000 to 50,000 tons; and specialty paper and paperboard mills produce 0.5 to 10,000 tons per year; The chemical pulp pulp production line will be newly built and expanded with an annual output of 300,000 tons or more, the old line will be technologically upgraded with an annual output of more than 100,000 tons, the chemical machine line will be newly built and expanded with an annual output of more than 100,000 tons, and the old line will be able to annually produce more than 50,000 tons of technological transformation. Bamboo and bagasse chemical pulp production lines will be rebuilt and expanded with an annual output of more than 50,000 tons. The wheat straw chemical pulp production line will be rebuilt and expanded with an annual output of 34,000 tons or more. The readjustment of the scale structure of the above papermaking enterprises and the formulation of the minimum size require that the domestic papermaking equipment be developed accordingly. Currently, the domestic production capacity of chemical pulp, chemical pulp and waste pulp production lines is 50,000, and the paper machine and board machine production capacity is 3 The equipment capacity of 10,000 to 100,000 t/a is far from the needs of the paper industry!
(2) Variety structure According to the structure of raw materials in the paper industry, it is adjusted to "gradually realize the use of wood fibers, expand the recycling of waste paper, and rationally use non-existent fibers." The product structure is "thin, high quality, superior grade, multi-variety, Focus on the development of high-end newsprint, offset book and paper, information paper, office paper, food and medical paper, merchandise packaging, paper and paperboard, paper and paperboard, coated paper and cardboard, and mid-to-high-end household paper and other short-term products; and Strengthen pollution control, strengthen environmental protection, and promote the sustainable development of the paper industry.†During the “10th Five-Year Plan†period, domestic papermaking machinery enterprises should speed up the application of advanced technologies to transform and develop existing grass fiber pulping equipment with Chinese characteristics. Simultaneously develop medium and small-sized waste paper processing equipment and papermaking equipment; develop large-scale advanced wood pulp pulping equipment, wide-format, high-speed, high-quality paper and board machines, together with high-quality coating, finishing, processing and completion Equipment, and large capacity. High-efficiency, low-consumption waste water, waste gas, waste residue treatment, recycling and other environmental protection equipment.
(3) Technical structure In the technical structure of papermaking equipment, it is necessary to plan and purposefully introduce advanced foreign technologies and equipment, and to improve the autonomous research and design of domestic papermaking equipment through digestion and absorption, patents, technology transfer, and technological innovation. Development and manufacturing capabilities, narrowing the gap with the international advanced level. In terms of pulping, we must focus on the development of high-strength, high-yield, low-pollution, and pollution-free pulping technologies and complete sets of equipment; in papermaking, we must focus on the development of low-quantity, high-quality, low-consumption, high-efficiency, automation, and information technology. Papermaking, coating, finishing, processing, and completing equipment; other research and development of new raw materials, new pulp types, chemical additives, rubber compounds, fillers, coating application equipment, waste paper processing, fiber recycling, water saving, energy saving, Suitable technologies and equipment to prevent pollution and protect the environment.
2.3 Market-level division The diversification of raw material structure, scale structure, product structure, technical structure, and investment structure of paper-making enterprises in China will inevitably lead to the hierarchical structure of the domestic paper-making machinery market. The author once stated in the article “Reflections on the Development Strategy of China's Paper-making Machinery Manufacturing Industry†on three levels of papermaking machinery market in China. This layered structure will still exist during the "10th Five-Year Plan" period. This is: low-level traditional small and medium-sized papermaking equipment; middle-level and more advanced technologies, moderately priced medium and large-sized papermaking equipment suitable for most papermaking enterprises in China; and high-level, most advanced and most expensive large-scale papermaking equipment. equipment. The papermaking machinery market of the above various levels accounts for 30%, 50%, 20% (by weight) and 10%, 60%, 30% (by sales) of the entire paper machinery product market in China. Among them, the low-level and high-level papermaking machinery market will not change for the domestic and foreign papermaking machinery enterprises in the near future. The medium-level papermaking machinery market will become the focus of fierce competition among papermaking machinery companies at home and abroad. Not only are foreign large-scale paper-making machinery companies that have already entered the domestic market to participate in competition, but more and more foreign medium and small-sized paper machinery companies will join the WTO after joining the WTO. Whether the domestic papermaking machinery enterprises can occupy a larger share in this level of market will determine the development prospects of China's papermaking machinery industry in the "fifteen" and beyond.
3. The development trend of domestic papermaking machinery products during the “Tenth Five-Year Plan†period China's papermaking machinery industry is a professional machinery, instrument, electrical, automatic control device, computer and information product that provides special production facilities, spare parts and installation, maintenance and service for the paper industry. The scientific research, development, design, manufacture, operation and service system. Paper-making companies are users of paper-making machinery products. The equipment, spare parts, and services required by papermaking companies are the products that papermaking machinery companies want to develop and produce. Since the reform and opening up in the 1980s and 1990s, the paper industry in China has undergone fundamental changes. However, the papermaking machinery industry in the past that has basically met the needs of the papermaking industry has not made much progress. Its products have lagged far behind the market. . As a result, the annual output of domestic papermaking machinery products has stagnated at the level of 100,000 to 150,000 tons for more than a decade. At the same time, the domestic demand for papermaking equipment has increased by more than three times. With the introduction of advanced foreign papermaking equipment, the market share of domestic papermaking equipment has dropped to 33.8% (by weight) and 17.2% (by sales) to stop this downward trend, and in the "Tenth Five-year Plan". During the period, gradually increase the domestic papermaking equipment market share in the domestic papermaking machinery market, the only way is to speed up the adjustment of the product structure of the papermaking machinery industry, to fully develop the technology is more advanced, the price is moderate, suitable for domestic and large-scale papermaking enterprises use large and medium-sized papermaking The equipment actively participates in the competition in the mid-level papermaking machinery market, and surpasses its rivals with its high performance-to-price ratio, as well as good product quality and service quality, and occupies a relatively large market share. In accordance with the above requirements, the development trend of domestic papermaking machinery products during the “Tenth Five-year Plan†period is:
(1) In terms of stock preparation equipment, grass pulp stock preparation should focus on the development and production of wet, wet and dry large and medium-sized stock preparation systems that can improve the absorption and penetration of grass liquids, reduce cooking alkali consumption, and reduce black liquor ash content. Preparation of materials to develop and produce large-scale cylinder stripping machine and other preparation equipment;
(2) In terms of cooking equipment, grass pulp cooking should focus on the existing technologies and products of Tianjin Light Machinery Factory, increase the variety, expand the scale, and develop and produce chemical pulps with a size of 150 to 300 tons for various grass materials. The continuous steam cooking system of Hehuazhimian cross-pumps; wood pulp cooking, based on the digestion and absorption of imported technology and equipment, develops chemical pulp vertical continuous cooking system and BCTMP chemical pulp cooking and refining system of 300 to 1000 t/d; In combination with the transformation of old factories, we will develop and produce 150-500t/d scale rapid replacement energy-saving batch cooking systems and APMP alkaline hydrogen peroxide mechanical pulp complete sets of equipment suitable for wood pulp and straw pulp respectively;
(3) In terms of pulp washing equipment, it is necessary to digest and absorb imported technology and equipment, as well as self-developed, developed and produced replacement steam washing tower with vertical steaming and 100-500 t/d efficient multi-stage countercurrent replacement diffusion washing. Pulp equipment; (to be continued)
2. Demand analysis of China's papermaking machinery market during the “10th Five-Year Plan†period During the “Tenth Five-Year Plan†period, domestic papermaking machinery products mainly rely on the domestic papermaking machinery market, except for a few exports to developing countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Although this market has a large amount of demand, it will be further internationalized after entering the WTO, and the competition will be more intense.
2.1 Estimation of Total Demand China's paper industry "Tenth Five-Year Plan" predicts that the output of mechanism paper and board will reach 35 million to 40 million tons in 2005, and the new paper and board production capacity will be 14 million tons in 5 years (including eliminating backward production Capacity and shutting down production capacity of 4 million t), new production capacity of 1.5 million tons of pulp, considering the spare parts, in the "10th Five-Year" period, about 1.75 million tons of paper machinery products, an average of 350,000 tons per year. It is 2.92 times of the annual output of domestic papermaking machinery about 120,000 tons. From this figure alone, the potential of the market seems to be large, but if we take into account the current domestic papermaking machinery products in the domestic market share of only 33.8% of the current situation, if you maintain the original domestic and imported patterns remain unchanged, The demand for domestic papermaking machinery products will basically not increase! On the other hand, from the perspective of purchasing funds, during the “10th Five-Year Plan†period, China’s papermaking industry is estimated to require about 160 billion yuan, and the average annual investment is about 32 billion yuan. If 60% of it is used for equipment purchase, the average The annual purchase of papermaking equipment will reach 19.2 billion yuan, which is approximately 6.86 times the annual sales of domestic papermaking machinery products of 2.8 billion yuan. It shows that the price of domestic papermaking equipment is very low. As long as the technical performance and service level of domestic papermaking equipment are raised, there is great room for increasing sales.
2.2 Analysis of Demand Structure (1) Scale structure The “Tenth Five-Year Plan†requires that the scale structure of China's paper industry enterprises develop towards large-scale, and “large-scale enterprise conglomeration and small- and medium-sized enterprise specialization†will be realized. According to the preliminary plan, by 2005, there will be 3 Jindong Paper, Zhenjiang Jindong Paper, Ningbo Zhonghua Paper, and Shandong Chenming Group with an annual output of more than 1 million tons. The annual output of 300,000 to 1 million tons will include Fujian Nan Paper Co., Ltd. and Fujian. Qingshan Paper Co., Ltd., Heilongjiang Jiamusi Papermaking Co., Ltd., Hunan Yueyang Paper Group, Yanbian Shiqi Baiji Paper Co., Ltd., Hebei Yiteng Paper, Jilin Paper, Shanghai Kailun Board and Paper Factory, Shanghai Hansong Potential Paper, Wuxi Longda Rongcheng Paper, Suzhou Zixing Paper, Changshu Asia Pacific Paper, Maanshan Shanying Paper, Jiangxi Paper Group, Shandong Huazhong Paper, Shandong Sun Paper, Shandong Huatai Paper , Shandong Guolin Paper Co., Ltd., Shandong Bohui Paper Co., Ltd., Hongta Renheng, Guangzhou Paper Co., Ltd., Guangdong Dongguan Paper Co., Ltd., and Hubei Shuolun Paper Group, with an annual output of 100,000-300,000 t. .
The minimum size of papermaking companies is required: wood pulp and paper mills produce more than 100,000 tons per year; straw and paper mills annually produce 34,000 to 50,000 tons; and specialty paper and paperboard mills produce 0.5 to 10,000 tons per year; The chemical pulp pulp production line will be newly built and expanded with an annual output of 300,000 tons or more, the old line will be technologically upgraded with an annual output of more than 100,000 tons, the chemical machine line will be newly built and expanded with an annual output of more than 100,000 tons, and the old line will be able to annually produce more than 50,000 tons of technological transformation. Bamboo and bagasse chemical pulp production lines will be rebuilt and expanded with an annual output of more than 50,000 tons. The wheat straw chemical pulp production line will be rebuilt and expanded with an annual output of 34,000 tons or more. The readjustment of the scale structure of the above papermaking enterprises and the formulation of the minimum size require that the domestic papermaking equipment be developed accordingly. Currently, the domestic production capacity of chemical pulp, chemical pulp and waste pulp production lines is 50,000, and the paper machine and board machine production capacity is 3 The equipment capacity of 10,000 to 100,000 t/a is far from the needs of the paper industry!
(2) Variety structure According to the structure of raw materials in the paper industry, it is adjusted to "gradually realize the use of wood fibers, expand the recycling of waste paper, and rationally use non-existent fibers." The product structure is "thin, high quality, superior grade, multi-variety, Focus on the development of high-end newsprint, offset book and paper, information paper, office paper, food and medical paper, merchandise packaging, paper and paperboard, paper and paperboard, coated paper and cardboard, and mid-to-high-end household paper and other short-term products; and Strengthen pollution control, strengthen environmental protection, and promote the sustainable development of the paper industry.†During the “10th Five-Year Plan†period, domestic papermaking machinery enterprises should speed up the application of advanced technologies to transform and develop existing grass fiber pulping equipment with Chinese characteristics. Simultaneously develop medium and small-sized waste paper processing equipment and papermaking equipment; develop large-scale advanced wood pulp pulping equipment, wide-format, high-speed, high-quality paper and board machines, together with high-quality coating, finishing, processing and completion Equipment, and large capacity. High-efficiency, low-consumption waste water, waste gas, waste residue treatment, recycling and other environmental protection equipment.
(3) Technical structure In the technical structure of papermaking equipment, it is necessary to plan and purposefully introduce advanced foreign technologies and equipment, and to improve the autonomous research and design of domestic papermaking equipment through digestion and absorption, patents, technology transfer, and technological innovation. Development and manufacturing capabilities, narrowing the gap with the international advanced level. In terms of pulping, we must focus on the development of high-strength, high-yield, low-pollution, and pollution-free pulping technologies and complete sets of equipment; in papermaking, we must focus on the development of low-quantity, high-quality, low-consumption, high-efficiency, automation, and information technology. Papermaking, coating, finishing, processing, and completing equipment; other research and development of new raw materials, new pulp types, chemical additives, rubber compounds, fillers, coating application equipment, waste paper processing, fiber recycling, water saving, energy saving, Suitable technologies and equipment to prevent pollution and protect the environment.
2.3 Market-level division The diversification of raw material structure, scale structure, product structure, technical structure, and investment structure of paper-making enterprises in China will inevitably lead to the hierarchical structure of the domestic paper-making machinery market. The author once stated in the article “Reflections on the Development Strategy of China's Paper-making Machinery Manufacturing Industry†on three levels of papermaking machinery market in China. This layered structure will still exist during the "10th Five-Year Plan" period. This is: low-level traditional small and medium-sized papermaking equipment; middle-level and more advanced technologies, moderately priced medium and large-sized papermaking equipment suitable for most papermaking enterprises in China; and high-level, most advanced and most expensive large-scale papermaking equipment. equipment. The papermaking machinery market of the above various levels accounts for 30%, 50%, 20% (by weight) and 10%, 60%, 30% (by sales) of the entire paper machinery product market in China. Among them, the low-level and high-level papermaking machinery market will not change for the domestic and foreign papermaking machinery enterprises in the near future. The medium-level papermaking machinery market will become the focus of fierce competition among papermaking machinery companies at home and abroad. Not only are foreign large-scale paper-making machinery companies that have already entered the domestic market to participate in competition, but more and more foreign medium and small-sized paper machinery companies will join the WTO after joining the WTO. Whether the domestic papermaking machinery enterprises can occupy a larger share in this level of market will determine the development prospects of China's papermaking machinery industry in the "fifteen" and beyond.
3. The development trend of domestic papermaking machinery products during the “Tenth Five-Year Plan†period China's papermaking machinery industry is a professional machinery, instrument, electrical, automatic control device, computer and information product that provides special production facilities, spare parts and installation, maintenance and service for the paper industry. The scientific research, development, design, manufacture, operation and service system. Paper-making companies are users of paper-making machinery products. The equipment, spare parts, and services required by papermaking companies are the products that papermaking machinery companies want to develop and produce. Since the reform and opening up in the 1980s and 1990s, the paper industry in China has undergone fundamental changes. However, the papermaking machinery industry in the past that has basically met the needs of the papermaking industry has not made much progress. Its products have lagged far behind the market. . As a result, the annual output of domestic papermaking machinery products has stagnated at the level of 100,000 to 150,000 tons for more than a decade. At the same time, the domestic demand for papermaking equipment has increased by more than three times. With the introduction of advanced foreign papermaking equipment, the market share of domestic papermaking equipment has dropped to 33.8% (by weight) and 17.2% (by sales) to stop this downward trend, and in the "Tenth Five-year Plan". During the period, gradually increase the domestic papermaking equipment market share in the domestic papermaking machinery market, the only way is to speed up the adjustment of the product structure of the papermaking machinery industry, to fully develop the technology is more advanced, the price is moderate, suitable for domestic and large-scale papermaking enterprises use large and medium-sized papermaking The equipment actively participates in the competition in the mid-level papermaking machinery market, and surpasses its rivals with its high performance-to-price ratio, as well as good product quality and service quality, and occupies a relatively large market share. In accordance with the above requirements, the development trend of domestic papermaking machinery products during the “Tenth Five-year Plan†period is:
(1) In terms of stock preparation equipment, grass pulp stock preparation should focus on the development and production of wet, wet and dry large and medium-sized stock preparation systems that can improve the absorption and penetration of grass liquids, reduce cooking alkali consumption, and reduce black liquor ash content. Preparation of materials to develop and produce large-scale cylinder stripping machine and other preparation equipment;
(2) In terms of cooking equipment, grass pulp cooking should focus on the existing technologies and products of Tianjin Light Machinery Factory, increase the variety, expand the scale, and develop and produce chemical pulps with a size of 150 to 300 tons for various grass materials. The continuous steam cooking system of Hehuazhimian cross-pumps; wood pulp cooking, based on the digestion and absorption of imported technology and equipment, develops chemical pulp vertical continuous cooking system and BCTMP chemical pulp cooking and refining system of 300 to 1000 t/d; In combination with the transformation of old factories, we will develop and produce 150-500t/d scale rapid replacement energy-saving batch cooking systems and APMP alkaline hydrogen peroxide mechanical pulp complete sets of equipment suitable for wood pulp and straw pulp respectively;
(3) In terms of pulp washing equipment, it is necessary to digest and absorb imported technology and equipment, as well as self-developed, developed and produced replacement steam washing tower with vertical steaming and 100-500 t/d efficient multi-stage countercurrent replacement diffusion washing. Pulp equipment; (to be continued)
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